Category Archives: NCAAF

Recent news, scores, odds, free picks, betting advice, and much more for Mens College Football (NCAAF) from the Wayne Allyn Root and the WinningEdge!

WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 10

WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 10

by WAYNE ALLYN ROOT
Looking ahead to this Saturday, there will be no rest for the Top 10 as some finally begin to play in conference. Note that the SEC has five (5) teams ranked in the Top 10, while the Pac 12 has just one (1) team- with Oregon. It’s always great to see Notre Dame relevant and Florida St not as great as the polls show. Their stats against some easy opponents would have me worried if I was Jimbo Fisher.
1) OKLAHOMA—The Sooners had no problems knocking off Tennessee last Saturday while covering the 21 pt. spread. They lose their top running back as Ford will be out for 2 to 3 weeks. He averaged 6 ypc and had 5 TD’s. Perine will replace him at running back when they take on West Virginia this week. They rely on a great defense to hang on to their #1 ranking by allowing just 11 points per contest.
2) OREGON—The Ducks crushed Wyoming 48-14. This game should have been by a wider margin, but we’ll give Oregon some slack as the game followed the Michigan St win from the previous week. Their 52 points per game keeps them in the Top 5 in scoring and they look to increase it this week against Washington St.
3) ALABAMA—The Crimson allowed just 4 field goals last week against Southern Miss in a 52-12 rout. What’s somewhat of a concern to Coach Sabin is thru his cupcake preseason (prior to conference play), Bama is only 33rd in rushing for 298 ypg. They meet Florida in their 4th home game in a row to begin the season this week so we’ll see if he or offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin has made some obviously necessary adjustments.
4) FLORIDA ST.—The Seminoles play on the road this week at #22 Clemson in a much anticipated match-up for the home team. Florida St has not exactly looked like a Top 1 after three games. They are ranked 49th in “D” allowing 21 ppg. Even more worrisome should be their rushing yardage ranked 73rd with just 158 ypc. This road contest will present the ‘Noles with a crucial test.
5) TEXAS A&M—The Aggies beat up on winless Rice last week knocking them off in a 38-10 one-sided game. And that score is a far cry off from their 4th ranked 54 ppg average. QB Kenny Hill has applied for a “Kenny Thrill” trademarked name. He may have earned it thru 3 games by completing 81% of his passes for 1094 yards and 11 TD’s. He’ll certainly add to his totals against SMU this Saturday. But…will all this adulation and hype go to his head?
6) AUBURN—The Tigers were idle last week for added rest from week # 2′s battle with San Jose State. Who makes these schedules? This week they travel to take on Kansas State. There’s only 377 tickets left to sell so the Wildcats’ fans will be out in force (decked out in purple). K-St. is ranked #20 and may have the goods if Auburn doesn’t improve on their 91st ranked passing game. QB Johnson has completed 75% of his passes, but all were short throws and he’s only had 2 TD’s so far along with 277 total yards.
7) BAYLOR—aka Bear Meat. But Bear Meat must changed to Buffalo meat last week as the Baylor Bears mauled Buffalo on the road 63-21. This team has racked up some great stats as they have a #1 ranking in points scored and a #3 ranking in points allowed. But hold all bets!! They travel to play Iowa St, fresh off an outright win over rival Iowa as a 13 point underdog. The question is; letdown or confidence for Iowa State? Either way, this will be a nice test for the Bears.
8) LSU—The Tigers got out the white paint and their paintbrushes and whitewashed “powerhouse” UL Monroe as they ran up the score and put a 31-0 spanking on them. Although that word may have to be banned from football lingo after the terrible deed committed by Viking superstar running back Adrian Peterson. This week is another home game as LSU hosts Mississippi St. They better hope they don’t have to play catch-up with their cupcake low average of 91st in passing yardage against the Bulldogs this week.
9) NOTRE DAME—It’s always great when the Lakers make a run in the NBA Finals,or the NY Yankees are making an October World Series Championship run. The Fighting Irish are in the Top 10 and undefeated. The World of Sports makes the real world feel like it’s spinning on it’s axis correctly and all is normal. They get to rest this week and prepare for both Syracuse and Stanford. They followed up the 31-0 beating they put on Michigan with a 30-14 win against in-state Purdue rival. Go Irish!
10) MISSISSIPPI—Ole Miss is 3-0 after demolishing LA-Lafayette 56-15 last Saturday. They are off this week and prepare for big bad Memphis in two weeks. They need to get a rushing game as their 78th ranking will not cut it in the SEC. They play hard and are heading in the right direction, so beware the rest of the SEC.

 

WEEK 2 OF THE 2014 HEISMAN WATCH

2014 HEISMAN WATCH WEEK 2
by WAYNE ALLYN ROOT
“Looking for the Best College Football Player”
1) MARCUS MARIOTA—QB; OREGON
In the best marquee match-up game last Saturday it was Mariota showing the nation and Michigan St. just how good he was. Down by 9 points in the 3rd quarter, he turned up the after burners and outscored the Spartens 28-0 on the way to a 46-27 huge Oregon win. Mariota ended the day with 318 yards passing and 3 TD’s. Added to his stats were 42 yards of rushing which not only makes him the top candidate for the Heisman, but also the best player in all of college football thru 2 weeks.
2) TODD GURLEY—RB; GEORGIA
Georgia was off last week so no updated stats to add for RB Todd Gurley. We are still in amazement of his week 1 performance against Clemson where he rushed for 198 yards and 3 touchdowns. His Heisman show hits the road this week as the Bulldogs travel to South Carolina.
3) KENNY HILL—QB; TEXAS A&M
Kenny Hill has 2 games under his belt with 1 quality win at South Carolina. His stats were skewed upwards last Saturday as A&M plummeted Lamar. But those numbers will be washed into the final totals as all teams get a few cupcakes during the season. After 2 games, we are impressed. He has thrown for 794 yards with 7 touchdown passes. He’s completed 71% of his passes and sat out the entire fourth quarter of last weeks game.
4) JAMEIS WINSTON—QB; FLORIDA ST.
Jameis Winston has 2 games so far under his belt and is piling up his stats. He has a test coming up this week against Clemson and will bring his 626 total passing yards thru week 2 with him. His downside are his 2 interceptions this year that almost match his 3 touchdowns. He will be just fine if he continues to complete 70% of his passes for the remainder of the season. Note that he had zero TD passes against Oklahoma St in one of his worst games ever and his 3 TD’s came against The Citadel last week.
5) EVERETT GOLSON—QB; NOTRE DAME
It’s time to give some love to the Irish after defeating Rice and then crushing Michigan in week 2. They followed their 48-17 win against Rice with a 31-0 shutout against Michigan in their final scheduled meeting between these 2 storied teams. Golson was awesome as he threw for 226 yards with 3 TD’s and 0 INTs in a well managed game. He has 5 TD throws on this years resume and will continue to build on those stats. Purdue is up next and we see no letdown in his immediate future.
6) BRYCE PETTY,QB; BAYLOR
Bryce Petty is putting up the numbers and his team is piling on the points despite a cracked vertebrae in his back…ouch! He is the perfect fit in Art Briles throw often offense and so far so good. He’ll continue to pad his stats as Baylor doesn’t play a noteworthy opponent until October. But if Baylor is smart, they should forget about a trip to the Big Apple in December and let him rest after those 28 point halftime leads.
7) BRETT HUNDLEY, QB; UCLA
Brett Hundley has had to open there first 2 weeks on the schedule behind a bad offensive line. He needs time to flow around the backfield and room to roam while looking downfield. His teams defense is on the field too long for him to get the ball enough times to pad his stats into Heisman numbers. He’s completed almost 70% of his passes with 3 TD’s and 1 INT on 638 yards of passing. He’s also been sacked 9 times in his first 2 games.

2014 College Football Top 10

2014 College Football Top 10
by Wayne Allyn Root
1) OKLAHOMA: The Sooners and Wayne Root are talking about this team playing for the national Championship. At least their road to the title game faces few obstacles. There’s plenty of reason for confidence. The fourth-ranked Sooners capped off a strong finish to last season with a win over Alabama in the Sugar Bowl that energized the rabid fan base. OklahOhio State: Who needs Braxton Miller when you have Urban Meyer? So it’s a new era in quarterback JT Barrett at OSU. Maybe the wide receivers are there to make JT look great. The Buckeyes will likely try to get the ball in the hands of their speedsters (Dontre Wilson, Jalin Marshall and Devin Smith). Barrett is inexperienced, but the Buckeyes’ receivers should have benefited from having to practice against press coverage every day. Give Urban Meyer the benefit of the doubt that the team is loaded with blue chippers and that he can coach. A nice challenge to all. Besides, all they have to do is get past Michigan St this seasonoma now must back up the excitement it has generated, starting Saturday at home against Louisiana Tech. They start a sophomore in Trevor Knight who took down Bama last year. Last years QB, Blake Bell, has moved to tight end and Coach Stoops says to look for some razzle-dazzle plays involving him. One thing for sure is they should remain #1 after this week’s opener against Louisiana Tech, starting a new QB.
2) ALABAMA: When I think of Alabama, two things come to mind. First is their mantra, Roll Tide Roll, and then secondly, Re-Load. Coach Sabin has recruited a Florida St graduate transfer in Jacob Coker to go against fifth year senior Blake Sims at the quarterback position. Sabin will play both this week against West Virginia. He has until Sept 20th against Florida to figure things out.
3) OREGON: QB Marcus Mariota takes a lot of ribbing over his course load this semester: yoga and golf. The reality is that the quarterback for No. 3 Oregon finished his degree requirements in just three years.
His opponents should also take note that those easy A’s mean Mariota is going to be able to spend a lot more time focusing on football this season, being early in the treatment room, remaining healthy and doing recovery stuff, and along with that film work. That is the recipe for a Heisman Trophy. The Ducks open at home Saturday night against South Dakota.
4) UCLA: The worst thing about opening their season is not the west coast to east coast travel to meet Virginia but rather to have the game start at 9 am pac time. That means the Bruins will begin their day at 4:40 am with a wake up. Then it’s dress and breakfast. Arriving at the stadium by 6:30 am pacific time to prepare for the game. Their QB, Blake Hundley should be in the running for a look at the Heisman but they play in what many claim to be the toughest college conference in America and just a notch above the SEC.
5) FLORIDA STATE: The AP and the Coaches poll have the Seminoles ranked #1. They are certainly in the top 5 but not necessarily going to get thru their conference unblemished and end up #1. Jimbo Fisher is looking for an “attitude of dominance” in 2014, and the Seminoles would love nothing more than to exhibit that against an Oklahoma State roster that is rebuilding from its conference title-contending ways. Their offense is designed to run over everyone. With Winston under center behind five senior lineman, anything other than a double-digit win will raise eyebrows for the defending champs.
6) MICHIGAN STATE: What a season to be in the Big 10. With Michigan on the decline, Wisconsin not where they normally are and Ohio St’s QB Braxton Miller out for the season, it must be a great feeling knowing this could be a huge year for the Spartans. Before you hand them the Big 10 trophy, remember they finished 81st in offense last year. It was their 2nd place defense that received all of my attention. Their HUGE game of the season is against Oregon. In fact, that may be their game for the entire season….that really counts. It will be the Badgers vs the Spartans for the Title.
7) OHIO STATE: Who needs Braxton Miller when you have Urban Meyer? So it’s a new era in quarterback JT Barrett at OSU. Maybe the wide receivers are there to make JT look great. The Buckeyes will likely try to get the ball in the hands of their speedsters (Dontre Wilson, Jalin Marshall and Devin Smith). Barrett is inexperienced, but the Buckeyes’ receivers should have benefited from having to practice against press coverage every day. Give Urban Meyer the benefit of the doubt that the team is loaded with blue chippers and that he can coach. A nice challenge to all. Besides, all they have to do is get past Michigan St this season.
8) AUBURN: When your rivals are Alabama, LSU and even Arkansas, it is possible to be the #1 team in the Country named America’s Top “under-the radar” team. We all remember the “LUCK” they had winning some miracle games last year. This year they may have the best group of receivers in the Nation. It’s guaranteed that they will be show-cased this Saturday when they meet the razorbacks of Arkansas as a 3 touchdown favorite. Tigers QB, Nick Marshall, has everyone admiring his improved accuracy and combined with the WR, running backs, a great offensive line, opposing teams will have to put up 40+ to have any chance at winning.
9) BAYLOR: It’s neck and neck with the fan support. The brand new $250 Million McLane Stadium or this year’s team. Both are tremendous to the Baylor Bears football program. The Bears may be the only team to be able to match Oklahoma in Conference play. They have a lot to do to keep up with being last years Number 1 offensive team in the Country. QB Bryce Petty is still under center. Petty, who waited his turn behind Griffin III and a record-setting season by Nick Florence, threw for a Big 12-leading 4,200 yards with 32 touchdowns and only three interceptions when he finally got his chance last season. He also led the league with 14 rushing TDs. Speaking of RGIII, he’ll be attending the opener and taking part in the pre-game ceremony. On a final stadium note, It sits along side the Bravos River and many will be arriving by boat. Look for SMU to be their first victim for a trivia question 50 years from now.
10) STANFORD: This has to be my favorite team in America when everything is considered. Academics are foremost at the top. But look at their football’s past program and what they’ve had to do. While many predicted the program would fade, Stanford survived the departures of Toby Gerhart, Jim Harbaugh and Andrew Luck – and several other key contributors – by actually getting better. The Cardinal have captured back-to-back conference championships and won at least 11 games in four straight seasons, which all ended in BCS bowls. They may have a drop off this season. Stanford (11-3) will have to overcome the odds again if it wants to complete a threat-peat. The Cardinal lost 10 starters from last season and have one of the country’s most difficult road schedules. At least they’ll have one easy game; UC-Davis this Saturday

CASHING IN ON EARLY SEASON COLLEGE FAVORITES

CASHING IN ON EARLY SEASON COLLEGE FAVORITES
by Wayne Allyn Root
It is said that the most important 2 weeks for the Vegas Oddsmakers are the first 2 weeks of college football. But it’s not with what you think. I’m not sure that there is a time in any sport and certainly in college football that is better for making money than the first two or three weeks of the non-conference season.
 
The oddsmakers don’t have the team strengths down “cold” so early in the season, so they create what’s called “soft” numbers. I’m not saying you can load up the wagon with free money, but this is your chance to gain an edge…WITH THE ADVICE OF THE RIGHT PROFESSIONAL HANDICAPPER.
Professional handicappers like myself have a staff, history, experience and longevity on my side when “knowing what to look for.” To cash in, though, you have to know where to look, and you have to be willing to put in the work that most bettors just don’t have the time for. That’s where I come in. Here are four places where college football handicappers can often find nice value in the early non-conference season.
 
1) Week 2 games:
If there is a blowout in week 1, then look at possibly betting against that team in week 2. On the other side of the coin is if a college team loses in an upset, look to bet on that team in week 2. I’m not saying it’s an automatic bet, but I look at the public money on these two occasions because the public bets “what they just saw.”
2) New Quarterback:
When last year’s superstar QB graduates, there may be a letdown in terms of talent. Or maybe not. Georgia’s Aaron Murray left for the NFL, so do you really know the level of his replacement? That’s the information gathered from spring and summer practices that are necessary for the successful handicapper. Some of the questions I ask are, has the replacement QB played meaningful action in the past? Has he spent a lot of time with the program? Is the offense particularly suited to his skills? As for coming out of the box for game 1, is it an intricate, demanding offense, or are there things a QB can do learn quickly?
3) Offensive line:
This is an area I guarantee that few non-pro handicappers look to analyze. The offensive line is responsible for so much in the game of football. If the offensive line plays well, then the quarterback has time to relax and establish a passing game, the running game can become a force, and the defense gets a chance to rest and won’t be forced to constantly play from behind. The preseason in college football is short and lacking real game action, so it can take a few games for new starters to get comfortable with the schemes, their teammates, and the speed of the game. Bottom line is to look for experience.
4) Non-BCS teams looking for blood:
The non-conference football schedule always features major conference teams scheduling games against cupcake teams. Those games feature huge lines, and the public assumes that the major conference team – almost always playing at home – will cruise to an easy win. The betting public will assume that a team isn’t going to be competitive if they come from a minor conference and are fairly obscure. Most public bettors will assume that the major conference football teams will win easily, so if the small conference team plays over their head, you are getting “value” (loads of extra points).
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For answers and tips like the above, along with many more useful articles that will make you into a POINTSPREAD WINNER!! It’s also been stated by the wise that you can be successful through your own efforts, or even more successful through the efforts of others (if they know more than you). Very successful investors rely on paid consultants and advice from experts outside their realm of expertise. So be sure to choose wisely.
See you weekly at winningedge.com for articles and of course……..many WINNERS!!
Good Luck,
WAR

Best College Coaches 2014

Best College Coaches 2014:

  1. Nick Saban- Alabama. Coaches just don’t get any better. “D” wins national championships and Saban is perhaps the best defensive coach in the history of college football. His record at Alabama against Top 25 opponents is 28-12. Saban has won 4 national championships and 4 SEC championships.
  2. Urban Meyer- Oho State. His two national championships, two SEC championships, two perfect seasons at Utah and Ohio State, and 7-2 Bowl record testify to his greatness. Record versus Top 25 opponents: 25-12.
  3. David Shaw- Stanford. Shaw’s 14-4 record against Top 25 teams is unmatched in all of college football. That’s almost 4 to 1 winners-to-losers. And 2 of the 4 losses were in OT. Can you imagine? Shaw could be 16-2 against Top 25 opponents! That’s unheard of in college football history. And this ‘aint Alabama either. Stanford is not a NCAA powerhouse historically. He’s been a head coach for 3 years, yet he’s won Pac 12 Coach of the Year twice.
  4. Bob Stoops- Oklahoma. Stoops’ has courage and great skill- he’s played among the most games against Top 25 opponents in college football history. His record is a fantastic 50-23.
  5. Les Miles- LSU. He is overshadowed by fellow SEC superstar Nick Saban, but Miles can hold his own with any coach in history. At LSU he is 37-19 against Top 25 opponents. Miles has won one national championship and two SEC championships (maybe even tougher).
  6. Steve Spurrier- South Carolina. Spurrier is 62-52 versus Top 25 opponents, but more importantly he’s close to .500 at lightly regarded South Carolina versus SEC opposition. Another national championship winner.
  7. Gary Patterson- TCU. Another defensive genius like Nick Saban, edxcept Patterson is coaching small-school TCU (up until last year playing in the weak-sister Mountain West). What a job getting to 14-14 versus Top 25 opponents. Patterson put TCU on the map.
  8. Jimbo Fisher- Florida State. Fisher is pretty new to coaching, but a national championship and a 9-5 record versus Top 25 opponents is a pretty good resume.
  9. Brian Kelly- Notre Dame. Kelly is 7-7 at Notre Dame versus Top 25 opponents, but 15-11 lifetime. Kelly has won 11 Coach of the Year awards! He’s already been to one national championship game and I would bet his future holds more. He is as good as it gets.
  10. Mark Dantonio- Michigan State. Another great defensive coach who has led Michigan State from mediocrity to greatness. In 7 years he has led the Spartans to 7 Bowls, won two Big 10 championships and two Big 10 Coach of the Year awards.

Honorable mentions that could move up in 2014:

Frank Beamer of Virginia Tech,

Gary Pinkel of Missouri,

Charlie Strong of Texas

Gary Anderson of Wisconsin.

Six (6) “must do’s” in August for COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Six (6) “must do’s” in August
to prepare for College Football
By Wayne Allyn Root
As a Handicapping Professional, I do NOT wait for the season to begin for my College Football handicapping. You’re correct when you say it doesn’t pay anything to study college football right now. But I assure you, I’ll be rewarded with huge dividends starting week 1 of college football. I will NOT have to wait for oddsmakers adjustments for me to begin to profit. I will be firing at bad lines based on my own adjustments made prior to the opening kickoff. It has been my August homework preparations that I have relied on for my 29 season of sports betting (successfully I humbly add). There are few handicapping professionals that have been winning for this long of a period. Lastly, you can do the work yourself (and put in 80 hours), or come back week after week and capitalize on my efforts, research and long hours. Feel free to join me each and every week at winningedge.com.
WAR
Wayne Allyn Root
1) What’s the information on new recruits:
Each year there is a wave of new college players who join each and every team in the country. This is when one has to go to the internet and read the daily write-ups about practices and see if they measure up. The team’s stats from last year are irrelevant if the team has gone through a lot of changes, so you need to know what those changes are and what they mean. One must also check injuries, team conditioning and chemistry. There’s been many a fight during these hot months of preparation. When looking at the players coming in, you need to get a sense of who they are and what role they are likely to fill on each team.
2) Learn about last year’s redshirts:
This is often overlooked by college football handicappers. I love to know if there is someone special coming in to take the place of a superstar that just departed. Someone just under the radar. Most teams have several players coming off a redshirt year. It’s more likely in most cases that redshirts will make an impact on the team than true freshmen will.
3) Does this team have a third year starter QB:
Similar to a veteran offensive line, a quarterback with a lot of experience under his belt can give his team a lift early on. At the college level, covering pointspreads or not, often depends on having an experienced QB. He not only has confidence in himself, but with the team as well. He has a certain swagger and the game has slowed down for a 3rd year starter.
4) Veteran offensive lines are the “key”:
The best shortcut for finding college teams that will be ready to be competitive at the start of the football season is to find ones that will be starting five upperclassmen on the offensive line. This is more profound early in the season as the oddsmakers will make adjustments by week 3, so a veteran O-line will pay dividends to smart gamblers.
5) Know the “cupcake” early schedules:
The betting public attaches a lot of significance to the records of teams. In non-conference play, though, the records can be a terrible indicator of how good a team is actually performing. A BCS conference team could have a 4-0 record while still playing very poorly if they have scheduled a weak non-conference schedule. Be aware that the polls are useless this year as it comes down to a Committee to vote on the four (4) teams to make the National Championship playoff. They say that strength of schedule is very important, but there is no written criteria determining that is so. This will be monitored weekly by tuning into more of the coaches press conferences and hearing their comments about teams they play and blowouts they produce.
6) Be aware of coaching changes:
The coaching ranks in college football are like a revolving door.  New coaches bring new styles and new energy, so it is very important to get a sense of who is new and what impact it will have on their teams. The more a coach will be looking to change the offensive and defensive styles, the rougher the initial season could be. This is a “key” factor. Some coaches should not disturb everything in the system and ease change in while motivating their players. Additionally, a change in offensive or defensive coordinator can have a significant impact on the team, and if the change wasn’t a high profile one then the betting public could miss out on the significance of it. This can certainly affect the smart bettors football picks.
Happy Hunting and have a profitable betting season. See you at WinningEDGE.com